Quote from: Daszkowski on Sep 17, 2017, 10:26:30 PM
"Alien: Covenant" opened to $2,6M in Japan.
"Prometheus" did $3.6M after first weekend.
Source: http://deadline.com/2017/09/war-for-the-planet-of-the-apes-china-opening-it-movie-spider-man-homecoming-mother-international-box-office-1202171328/
From this news I'll do some math to get some estimates of the overall box office results for A:C and what that means for its performance.
* Japan first weekend; "Prometheus" $3.6M from
deadline.com (Box Office Mojo has that opening weekend at $3.8M.)
"Alien: Covenant" $2.6M
- 2.6 divided by 3.6 gives what percentage A:C's opening was compared with "Prometheus".
Answer; 72% using the
deadline.com number
(2.6 divided by 3.8 = 68% using the Box Office Mojo "Prometheus" number)
- "Prometheus" total box office in Japan; $21,816,409 which I'll round down to $21 million. (I'm being conservative with these estimates.)
X 72% = about $15 million estimate for A:C in Japan using the
deadline.com numbers
(X 68% = about $14 million estimate for A:C in Japan using the Box Office Mojo number)
* Total estimated box office for "Alien Covenant".
Currently "Alien Covenant" box office is at $236 million but that may include the new Japan box office.
Google has the A:C box office at $233.1 million which is probably what it is without the numbers from Japan.
$233.1 million + the estimated $15 million or $14 million gets A:C into the $248 / $247 million range.
$248 / $247 million box office would be 2.56 / 2.55 times the production budget ($97 million).
2.5 time the production budget is $242.5 million.
* It looks like A:C box office will get to 2.5 times its production budget ($242.5 million).
- Many movies that have box office at around 2.5 times their production budget have historically been considered decent performers (getting sequels for instance).