Quote from: whiterabbit on Nov 16, 2015, 09:52:13 AM
Quote from: PVTDukeMorrison on Nov 16, 2015, 06:04:00 AM
Quote from: whiterabbit on Nov 16, 2015, 06:01:54 AM
Quote from: Hubbs on Nov 16, 2015, 04:47:04 AM
Quote from: Hellspawn28 on Nov 16, 2015, 04:33:55 AM
I see people I know in real life that are scared that ISIS will attack the US and take over the world. They may be evil and horrible, I don't see them being powerful enough to take over the whole world anytime soon.
If people keep leaving Syria they'll take that over cos no ones gonna be left in the country to stop them lol!
If people keep leaving Syria; ISIS will have no one to operate the country and it's infrastructure. Does no one think about things like that? None the less ISis should be dealth with and yes that will take boots on the ground.
It would take a lot more than just boots bud. Unfortunately no country has the stomach to do what is necessary to properly defeat an insurgency.
Explain. Cause at the moment I'm reading that as nerve gassing the entire f**king nest or nuking the site from orbit. I just want to be sure I get where you're coming from. By boots I mean a full military invasion along with significant causalities.
Unfortunately, despite how much I would love to turn that whole region into glass, it's a lot more complicated than that. What I meant is that if a full on invasion were to take place in Syria it won't be like Normandy, think more Afghanistan 2.0, and the whole time we'd have to stay away from Assad's territory and the big Russian bear he has at his side.
So lets say we do invade, we have full boots one the ground from multiple different nations. At first IS is confident and actually attacks with a mix of conventional forces and guerrilla tactics. After a few weeks of their forces getting decimated by the first modern army they've ever had to face, they realize they aren't as good as they thought, so they now go full blown Taliban. They blend in with the local populace, bury IEDs in roads to hit convoys, that sort of shit. As long as we have the current counter insurgency doctrine, they've won. What we would need to do is hit hard, unfortunately that brings civilian casualties, and the moment a picture of a dead Syrian boy in a bombed out house ends up on twitter we become the bad guys, and the homefront is shot.
So to prevent that, the government controls the media, only what they want the people to see about the war gets through. So now we're in Syria, bombing the mosques and hospitals IS is using as weapon caches, this will no doubt bring about anger from the local population, and more will start to join up with ISIS. How do we deal with this?Well, the only way to completely destroy their ideology would be to kill every single one of them. But wait, now you just killed a little boys father, this kids gonna want to get revenge, now we have to kill him to, and everyone else that supports them. This includes women and children. If Iraq and Afghanistan taught us anything, it's that hearts and minds approach does not work, the Taliban are still strong in Afghanistan, and their numbers are still growing. We would have to police the local population, make them believe that what's happening is their fault, I'm talking full treaty of Versailles.
So lets say it's a success, we've bombed them to hell and all that remains of ISIS is a few pockets of barely functioning resistance. What do we do about the leadership in the country? We could take out Assad, risk WW3 with Russia, and try to enforce a Western democracy with a permanent military presence (Because that worked so well everywhere else), or we could use the other option. Unfortunately, all the people in these regions seem to understand is the sword, and dictatorships seem to be the only political option that works in these regions. So we let Assad stay, give him some funding under the table and let him and his forces keep the locals under control. Now we have every liberal arts graduate saying that we support a blood thirsty tyrant. If Assad is evil, then he's a necessary evil.
It's shitty, but this is the only way I can see a full blown invasion work out. Keep in mind you have all these "refugees" in places like Germany and France, I'm not so sure they'd support any sort of ground war.