Quote from: Gate on Apr 06, 2016, 04:56:22 PM
So scratch victory #6 out of the last 7 states up for Bernie Sanders.
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/hillary-clinton-has-had-enough-of-bernie-sanders-221495
Both the GOP and the Democratic party are going into an indecisive convention.
I find it all very odd with the GOP. Lets be honest here, their best chance to get in the White House is with Trump, no question about it. Cruz won't beat anyone in the national, Trump probably won't either, but he has a way way better chance than Cruz ever will, Cruz is a wasted vote. Its crazy that the GOP are totally sabotaging Trump when he's clearly so strong, they should be working with him to try and make him more realistic and less controversial. I've read this before and I'll say it here, had the GOP actually put in half as much effort into supporting Trump as they have done in trying to stop him, they'd probably be in a much stronger position right now.
As for the Democrats, I still think Clinton will win, I really can't see Sanders clawing that gap back. He has had a good streak but it was totally expected, most have been western States, no brainers. But the main thing, even though he has won the last 6 or whatever, the gap still remains because Clinton obviously keeps picking up delegates too. Sure its gotten a bit smaller, but look at the last one in Wisconsin. Sanders won and got 48 delegates, Clinton lost but still got 38, so basically she's still picking up a decent amount of delegates, almost as many as Sanders in this case.
I read in the NY Times or The Guardian, can't recall which, that Sanders must win all the States of NY, CA, NJ and PA with 60%, almost a clean sweep in every one. Now I can see Sanders winning more sure, but I doubt this will happen. Even if Sanders wins every remaining State, but if they are tight, Clinton will still pick up a decent amount of delegates in every State and the gap will remain about the same, albeit get a bit smaller again. In order for Sanders to win he has to virtually take all the delegates in each State and Clinton would have to pick up virtually zero (like Cruz did to Trump in WI).
NY is the big one, if Clinton loses that (depending how close it is of course), then its wide open. If Clinton wins (depending how close it is) then the gap will just remain the same, or a bit bigger. Personally I think that gap will pretty much remain in place for the rest of the duration, and I think heading back east Clinton will start to win again.
