Quote from: windebieste on Apr 12, 2017, 07:35:24 AM
Something has to go very wrong for this movie to not do well.
I think this is going to be a case of reviews and word to mouth to make it either a highly successful movie or a bomb. If it's a great movie it'll do well, if it stinks it will probably kill the franchise.
Coming two months after Life ( that was by all accounts good without being great ) and one or two weeks after Guardians of the Galaxy depending on the markets, I think Alien Covenant is set on an ideal release date. Life would have wet the appetite of people who want a good horror movie in space, so if Covenant is a great horror Alien movie it could do very well with that crowd. And after Guardians ( which will probably be a great movie ), people will be in the mood for adventures in space but probably looking for something different than a comedy, so a Horror movie could do very well.
The main issue would have been the connection to Prometheus, a lot of people having liked the movie ok but not been wowed by it, so that's why I think they have been really clever in the marketing to focus on the Alien. Prometheus fans will probably be satisfied with the connections if the movie is very good, so I think they were right to chase a different audience on this one.
If the movie is a really well done, well acted, tense, scary experience, and as gorgeous as it appears to be, Covenant really has a lot going for it and could do incredibly well at the box-office. But if the movie turns out not to make a cohesive whole, or if it has obvious flaws, it could really fall apart after the first few days.
My money is on it being a great movie. I'm sure it'll do well.