User Information

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?

Login with username, password and session length

Poll

What do you think of Box office.Com's prediction??

It will be waaay higher than that!!
34 (66.7%)
That's just about right!!
12 (23.5%)
This will be looower than projected numbers!!
5 (9.8%)

Total Members Voted: 49

Author Topic: Alien Covenant's Box Office Prediction!!  (Read 14228 times)



Corporal Hicks
May 10, 2017, 01:03:34 PM
Reply #122 on: May 10, 2017, 01:03:34 PM
Merging with existing box office predictions thread.


juxtapose
May 10, 2017, 01:25:42 PM
Reply #123 on: May 10, 2017, 01:25:42 PM
. .can someone translate. .please!




Ulm
May 10, 2017, 02:59:24 PM
Reply #126 on: May 10, 2017, 02:59:24 PM
I predict:
100m domestic
260m foreign

So 360m worldwide. Pretty modest



Corporal Hicks
May 11, 2017, 07:55:58 AM
Reply #128 on: May 11, 2017, 07:55:58 AM
It's dropped down one today. I feel conflicted. I want it to perform well because I want more Alien movies, I'm not sure I want more of the story Ridley has in mind at the minute, though.


newagescamartist
May 11, 2017, 08:04:38 AM
Reply #129 on: May 11, 2017, 08:04:38 AM
It's dropped down one today. I feel conflicted. I want it to perform well because I want more Alien movies, I'm not sure I want more of the story Ridley has in mind at the minute, though.

He's certainly shown he's adaptable and willing to listen to the fanbase. If the overall vibe is disliked by the fanbase I can honestly see Ridley cooking up something else. Ultimately he wants to entertain people while telling a good story. I don't think he's so set in his ways that he won't listen to criticism. This is what sets him apart from someone like Lucas or Cameron. We just need to be respectful of some of the criticisms. I think this website leads by example and I hope he reads the comments here.


SuicideDoors
May 11, 2017, 08:47:02 AM
Reply #130 on: May 11, 2017, 08:47:02 AM
It's dropped down one today. I feel conflicted. I want it to perform well because I want more Alien movies, I'm not sure I want more of the story Ridley has in mind at the minute, though.

I fear the consequences of it not performing are far worse.

And Ridley Scott says a lot of things. I love him to pieces, but I don't think he'll do another Alien movie after Covenant.


cucuchu
May 11, 2017, 01:57:07 PM
Reply #131 on: May 11, 2017, 01:57:07 PM
I had originally been quite optimistic, thinking it would perform in the 400million+ at the Box Office, but I am going to cut that down drastically to 60 million domestically in the US and 120 million WW. Reason being, I do not see the hype for it here in the states (anecdotally anyways) and theaters are utilizing their premium screens (IMAX, Dolby, etc) for Guardians of the Galaxy 2 (during its 3rd week, Alien's first) and Pirates of the Caribbean on its first week and going forward (Alien's 2nd and going forward). People I talk to seem confused about it and either do not know what I am talking about or are in the mind of "Oh, is that coming out this year? huh...."...i.e. it does not seem like many people are tracking or following it. I HOPE I am dead wrong but between the lack of enthusiasm from the general public, at least that I have encountered, and the lack of theater confidence in the film, I just don't see it performing well by any standard.

Maybe audiences from everywhere outside the US can make up for its potential lack of performance here. I certainly hope so. I know some people think that it could be a good thing if it does not perform well because it might make Ridley Scott reconsider his direction with the series, but I fear they may just scrap Ridley Scott from control of the series altogether and bring in someone fresh 10 - 15 years from now when they feel its time for another go.


replicon
May 11, 2017, 01:58:10 PM
Reply #132 on: May 11, 2017, 01:58:10 PM
It's dropped down one today. I feel conflicted. I want it to perform well because I want more Alien movies, I'm not sure I want more of the story Ridley has in mind at the minute, though.

He's certainly shown he's adaptable and willing to listen to the fanbase. If the overall vibe is disliked by the fanbase I can honestly see Ridley cooking up something else. Ultimately he wants to entertain people while telling a good story. I don't think he's so set in his ways that he won't listen to criticism. This is what sets him apart from someone like Lucas or Cameron. We just need to be respectful of some of the criticisms. I think this website leads by example and I hope he reads the comments here.

"When I'm making a movie I'm going through the eye of a needle and your either with me or against me". He's not someone that is known for his compromising attitude .


BishopShouldGo
May 11, 2017, 03:14:16 PM
Reply #133 on: May 11, 2017, 03:14:16 PM
It'll do spectacularly. You all need to be hope so too. If it doesn't do well, they won't start with a blank slate, they will keep it dormant for years.


fiveways
May 11, 2017, 03:29:27 PM
Reply #134 on: May 11, 2017, 03:29:27 PM
I had originally been quite optimistic, thinking it would perform in the 400million+ at the Box Office, but I am going to cut that down drastically to 60 million domestically in the US and 120 million WW. Reason being, I do not see the hype for it here in the states (anecdotally anyways) and theaters are utilizing their premium screens (IMAX, Dolby, etc) for Guardians of the Galaxy 2 (during its 3rd week, Alien's first) and Pirates of the Caribbean on its first week and going forward (Alien's 2nd and going forward). People I talk to seem confused about it and either do not know what I am talking about or are in the mind of "Oh, is that coming out this year? huh...."...i.e. it does not seem like many people are tracking or following it. I HOPE I am dead wrong but between the lack of enthusiasm from the general public, at least that I have encountered, and the lack of theater confidence in the film, I just don't see it performing well by any standard.

Maybe audiences from everywhere outside the US can make up for its potential lack of performance here. I certainly hope so. I know some people think that it could be a good thing if it does not perform well because it might make Ridley Scott reconsider his direction with the series, but I fear they may just scrap Ridley Scott from control of the series altogether and bring in someone fresh 10 - 15 years from now when they feel its time for another go.

$180m would certainly shelf it for a long time.  That would be consider a massive flop.  It might break even with those numbers after tax breaks, netflix, digital and broadcast rights and all that jazz, but it definitely wouldn't be enough to green light a sequel.  You do make a good point about its competition for screens around it's release.  That said, it is the only Hard R movie being released this summer which might help it (but as you said there is a lot of consumer apathy towards it currently).

300m worldwide is my revised guess.  It's make money but not enough to secure an instant sequel.  Not enough for Fox to feel secure in the direction they are heading in either. 


 

Facebook Twitter Instagram YouTube RSS Feed